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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.83+4.08vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.18+2.29vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.71+2.61vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.55-0.26vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.78-0.53vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.60+0.10vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.25-2.75vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.18-1.27vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Connecticut College0.8310.2%1st Place
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4.29Northeastern University1.1813.5%1st Place
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5.61Tufts University0.717.4%1st Place
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3.74Brown University1.5519.3%1st Place
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4.47Bowdoin College0.7812.7%1st Place
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6.1University of Rhode Island0.606.4%1st Place
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4.25Roger Williams University1.2514.6%1st Place
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6.73Salve Regina University0.184.3%1st Place
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4.73Boston University1.1411.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AnaLucia Clarkson | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 9.3% |
Lucia Loosbrock | 13.5% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
Julia Shannon-Grillo | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 14.8% |
Emily Mueller | 19.3% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
Teagan Cunningham | 12.7% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 4.6% |
Meghan Haviland | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 17.5% | 22.6% |
Claire Siegel-Wilson | 14.6% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
Molly Hanrahan | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 33.6% |
Tiare Sierra | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.