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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.73+5.12vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.85+3.61vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.94+3.45vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.53+0.42vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.87+0.58vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.41+8.35vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-0.52+4.17vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.46+2.94vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.01+0.12vs Predicted
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10Rice University0.94-4.11vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-1.18+2.61vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.13-2.48vs Predicted
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13Washington College-0.55-1.84vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia-0.52-3.22vs Predicted
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15Hope College-0.77-3.43vs Predicted
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16Michigan State University-0.97-3.32vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University0.10-8.46vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-2.35-1.33vs Predicted
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19William and Mary-3.07-0.82vs Predicted
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20University of Central Florida-2.68-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Christopher Newport University0.738.9%1st Place
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5.61Eckerd College0.8510.8%1st Place
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6.45Jacksonville University0.948.8%1st Place
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4.42North Carolina State University1.5317.8%1st Place
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5.58Clemson University0.8711.0%1st Place
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14.35Arizona State University-1.411.3%1st Place
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11.17University of Texas-0.522.8%1st Place
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10.94University of North Carolina-0.462.9%1st Place
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9.12University of South Florida0.014.4%1st Place
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5.89Rice University0.9410.4%1st Place
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13.61San Diego State University-1.181.7%1st Place
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9.52The Citadel-0.133.5%1st Place
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11.16Washington College-0.552.5%1st Place
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10.78University of Virginia-0.522.8%1st Place
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11.57Hope College-0.772.9%1st Place
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12.68Michigan State University-0.971.6%1st Place
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8.54Texas A&M University0.105.0%1st Place
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16.67Florida Institute of Technology-2.350.5%1st Place
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18.18William and Mary-3.070.2%1st Place
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17.67University of Central Florida-2.680.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 17.8% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Oliver Fenner | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| May Proctor | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Blake March | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joe Slipper | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Reese Blackwell | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Henry Myrick | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ella Sligh | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Caden Meyers | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Ingram | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 24.1% | 18.1% |
| Meredith Timm | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 21.8% | 46.5% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 16.1% | 27.5% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.