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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.78+3.50vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.14+2.65vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.55+0.86vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.71+1.60vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.25-0.78vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.83-0.85vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.60-0.98vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18-3.62vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.18-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Bowdoin College0.7812.6%1st Place
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4.65Boston University1.1411.7%1st Place
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3.86Brown University1.5517.6%1st Place
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5.6Tufts University0.717.4%1st Place
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4.22Roger Williams University1.2516.0%1st Place
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5.15Connecticut College0.838.7%1st Place
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6.02University of Rhode Island0.607.3%1st Place
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4.38Northeastern University1.1814.1%1st Place
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6.61Salve Regina University0.184.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Teagan Cunningham | 12.6% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
Tiare Sierra | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.9% |
Emily Mueller | 17.6% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
Julia Shannon-Grillo | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 13.2% |
Claire Siegel-Wilson | 16.0% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
AnaLucia Clarkson | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.3% |
Meghan Haviland | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 21.6% |
Lucia Loosbrock | 14.1% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% |
Molly Hanrahan | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.