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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+2.66vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.26+2.05vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.24+1.12vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.18vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-2.24vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95-1.73vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.58-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66St. Mary's College of Maryland1.3515.4%1st Place
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4.05North Carolina State University1.2611.7%1st Place
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4.12George Washington University1.2410.5%1st Place
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2.82U. S. Naval Academy2.0425.5%1st Place
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2.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0325.2%1st Place
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4.27Old Dominion University0.9510.3%1st Place
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6.33University of Virginia-0.581.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Bennett | 15.4% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 3.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 11.7% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 20.7% | 6.1% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 10.5% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 21.3% | 7.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 25.5% | 23.1% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 25.2% | 25.1% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 20.2% | 22.5% | 8.6% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 72.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.