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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.24+3.08vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+1.63vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.95+1.34vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-1.27vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.58+1.35vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.26-1.93vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08George Washington University1.2410.0%1st Place
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3.63St. Mary's College of Maryland1.3515.1%1st Place
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4.34Old Dominion University0.958.0%1st Place
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2.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0328.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Virginia-0.581.8%1st Place
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4.07North Carolina State University1.2611.9%1st Place
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2.8U. S. Naval Academy2.0425.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 10.0% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 20.3% | 6.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 15.1% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 3.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 24.2% | 9.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 28.0% | 23.4% | 19.0% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 73.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 11.9% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 18.9% | 20.4% | 6.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 25.2% | 23.8% | 20.0% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.