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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.26+3.11vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.24+2.08vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-0.31vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.21vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-1.41vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95-1.62vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.58-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11North Carolina State University1.2610.3%1st Place
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4.08George Washington University1.2411.1%1st Place
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2.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0326.6%1st Place
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2.79U. S. Naval Academy2.0427.2%1st Place
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3.59St. Mary's College of Maryland1.3514.8%1st Place
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4.38Old Dominion University0.958.5%1st Place
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6.34University of Virginia-0.581.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Olivia Sowa | 10.3% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 21.5% | 6.7% |
Chiara Perotti Correa | 11.1% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 19.7% | 21.0% | 6.3% |
Emily Bornarth | 26.6% | 25.2% | 19.8% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
Eva Blauvelt | 27.2% | 21.2% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
Katherine Bennett | 14.8% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 11.8% | 4.5% |
Elizabeth Gildea | 8.5% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 25.1% | 8.9% |
Hannah Mercurio | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 72.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.