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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.26+3.05vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+0.88vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.24+1.11vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-0.41vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-2.29vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95-1.64vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.58-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05North Carolina State University1.2610.5%1st Place
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2.88U. S. Naval Academy2.0423.8%1st Place
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4.11George Washington University1.2411.8%1st Place
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3.59St. Mary's College of Maryland1.3515.8%1st Place
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2.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0327.3%1st Place
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4.36Old Dominion University0.959.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Virginia-0.581.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 10.5% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 17.9% | 19.5% | 6.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 23.8% | 21.8% | 21.9% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 21.0% | 7.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 15.8% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 3.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 27.3% | 23.8% | 20.1% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 24.4% | 9.7% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 71.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.