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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.65+7.38vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+1.87vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.81vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.71+1.11vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.81+2.84vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.15+4.52vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University1.95+0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.99+2.75vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.75-0.69vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.40+2.82vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo0.87+0.48vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University1.40-2.49vs Predicted
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13Penn State University1.35-3.27vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute2.29-7.60vs Predicted
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15William and Mary1.29-5.14vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech1.65-7.62vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology0.65-4.88vs Predicted
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18St. John's College-0.47-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.38Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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3.87Fordham University3.110.2%1st Place
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3.81University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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5.11Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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7.84Princeton University1.810.0%1st Place
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10.52Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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7.46Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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10.75University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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8.31Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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12.82Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
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9.51Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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9.73Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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6.4Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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9.86William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
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8.38Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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12.12Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
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15.03St. John's College-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Price | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 18.8% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 18.7% | 19.1% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 12.5% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gebb | 4.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 19.5% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Schumacher | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 52.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.