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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.26+3.00vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+0.74vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+0.63vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.58+2.33vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95-0.62vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.24-1.91vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0North Carolina State University1.2612.6%1st Place
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2.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0326.1%1st Place
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3.63St. Mary's College of Maryland1.3514.0%1st Place
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6.33University of Virginia-0.581.4%1st Place
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4.38Old Dominion University0.959.0%1st Place
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4.09George Washington University1.2410.8%1st Place
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2.83U. S. Naval Academy2.0426.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 20.5% | 6.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 26.1% | 24.6% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Bennett | 14.0% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 13.3% | 3.8% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 72.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 20.6% | 25.3% | 8.8% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 20.1% | 7.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 26.3% | 20.6% | 20.8% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.