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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria2.65+1.74vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.76+2.28vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.21-0.57vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria1.79-0.77vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound0.55+0.28vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.34-0.51vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound1.26-2.85vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University2.20-5.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74University of Victoria2.650.3%1st Place
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4.28University of Washington1.760.1%1st Place
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3.43Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
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4.23University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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6.49University of Washington0.340.0%1st Place
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5.15University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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3.39Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Hawkes | 27.6% | 25.1% | 18.5% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Fuller | 11.2% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 4.1% |
| Peter McGrath | 17.9% | 16.9% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Robert Berry | 11.7% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 9.7% | 4.5% |
| John Elam | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 27.1% | 33.0% |
| Aaron Scull | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 14.9% | 20.6% | 42.1% |
| Mike Knape | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 19.1% | 13.2% |
| Casey Pruitt | 18.9% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.