Race 4B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alexander Salzberg 29.9% 30.9% 21.3% 11.4% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Jonathan Wittick 40.6% 30.1% 18.4% 7.0% 2.9% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandros Chalvatzakis 4.3% 6.0% 8.9% 13.4% 15.9% 15.2% 13.6% 11.7% 7.4% 3.5%
Benjamin Mohrman 10.3% 13.9% 19.3% 20.2% 16.0% 10.2% 5.5% 3.1% 1.4% 0.2%
Charlotte Shaw 2.9% 3.7% 6.2% 9.7% 11.6% 14.0% 15.3% 14.0% 12.8% 9.8%
Tyler Needham 1.7% 2.3% 4.0% 6.4% 8.0% 10.3% 13.0% 14.9% 18.4% 21.0%
Matthew McCarvill 4.9% 5.5% 8.8% 13.9% 16.2% 16.0% 13.2% 10.6% 7.3% 3.6%
Cooper Bennett 1.6% 2.6% 5.2% 7.1% 10.2% 12.0% 14.0% 16.2% 15.8% 15.2%
George Wood 2.2% 3.4% 4.5% 6.5% 8.4% 11.5% 13.6% 14.0% 17.9% 18.0%
Joseph Arrigo 1.7% 1.7% 3.1% 4.4% 6.7% 8.8% 11.0% 15.2% 18.8% 28.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.