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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.81+6.82vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.71+2.96vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.80vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University1.95+3.53vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.75+3.10vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.65+2.70vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.11-3.07vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.99+2.71vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.15+1.53vs Predicted
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10Penn State University1.35-0.46vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo0.87+0.47vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University1.40-2.51vs Predicted
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13William and Mary1.29-3.02vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology0.65-1.82vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute2.29-8.64vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.40-3.13vs Predicted
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17St. John's College-0.47-1.96vs Predicted
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18Virginia Tech1.65-9.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
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4.96Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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7.53Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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8.1Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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8.7Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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3.93Fordham University3.110.2%1st Place
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10.71University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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10.53Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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9.54Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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11.47University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
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9.49Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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9.98William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
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12.18Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
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6.36Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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12.87Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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15.04St. John's College-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.7Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gebb | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 13.3% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 19.2% | 18.5% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 18.5% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Schumacher | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 52.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.