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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.26+3.08vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.24+2.12vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+0.66vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.21vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95-0.64vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-3.31vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.58-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08North Carolina State University1.2611.4%1st Place
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4.12George Washington University1.2410.5%1st Place
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3.66St. Mary's College of Maryland1.3513.1%1st Place
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2.79U. S. Naval Academy2.0426.6%1st Place
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4.36Old Dominion University0.958.8%1st Place
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2.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0327.7%1st Place
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6.3University of Virginia-0.581.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 11.4% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 18.7% | 20.1% | 6.8% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 20.3% | 6.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 13.1% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 3.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 26.6% | 21.8% | 22.4% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 19.2% | 25.2% | 8.9% |
| Emily Bornarth | 27.7% | 24.6% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 71.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.