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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+0.75vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.26+1.01vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.24+0.05vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-1.33vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95-1.64vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.58-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81U. S. Naval Academy2.0425.7%1st Place
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2.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0327.3%1st Place
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4.01North Carolina State University1.2611.8%1st Place
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4.05George Washington University1.2411.9%1st Place
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3.67St. Mary's College of Maryland1.3513.6%1st Place
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4.36Old Dominion University0.958.2%1st Place
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6.35University of Virginia-0.581.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eva Blauvelt | 25.7% | 22.9% | 19.6% | 15.7% | 10.5% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
Emily Bornarth | 27.3% | 22.4% | 19.8% | 15.5% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
Olivia Sowa | 11.8% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 19.8% | 5.7% |
Chiara Perotti Correa | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 20.1% | 6.8% |
Katherine Bennett | 13.6% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 4.0% |
Elizabeth Gildea | 8.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 25.2% | 9.1% |
Hannah Mercurio | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 11.5% | 72.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.