← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University1.24+3.10vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University0.95+2.38vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-0.29vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.21vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University1.26-0.92vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-2.38vs Predicted
-
7University of Virginia-0.58-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.1George Washington University1.2410.8%1st Place
-
4.38Old Dominion University0.958.9%1st Place
-
2.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0327.5%1st Place
-
2.79U. S. Naval Academy2.0425.6%1st Place
-
4.08North Carolina State University1.2611.1%1st Place
-
3.62St. Mary's College of Maryland1.3514.2%1st Place
-
6.32University of Virginia-0.582.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 20.8% | 6.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 26.4% | 9.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 27.5% | 24.4% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 25.6% | 23.1% | 19.1% | 17.5% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 11.1% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 19.6% | 20.0% | 6.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 14.2% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 17.2% | 13.0% | 3.7% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 72.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.