← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University3.11+2.79vs Predicted
-
2Monmouth University1.95+5.24vs Predicted
-
3Princeton University1.81+4.88vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech1.65+4.42vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University1.75+2.85vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.14vs Predicted
-
7Syracuse University1.40+2.36vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary1.29+1.55vs Predicted
-
9Columbia University0.40+3.89vs Predicted
-
10Penn State University1.35-0.60vs Predicted
-
11Stevens Institute of Technology0.65+1.00vs Predicted
-
12Washington College2.71-7.04vs Predicted
-
13Villanova University1.15-2.63vs Predicted
-
14University of Rochester0.99-3.06vs Predicted
-
15University of Buffalo0.87-3.80vs Predicted
-
16Virginia Tech1.65-7.58vs Predicted
-
17St. John's College-0.47-2.02vs Predicted
-
18Webb Institute1.69-9.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.79Fordham University3.110.2%1st Place
-
7.24Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
-
7.88Princeton University1.810.0%1st Place
-
8.42Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
-
7.85Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
-
3.86University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
-
9.36Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
-
9.55William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
-
12.89Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
-
9.4Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
-
12.0Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
-
4.96Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
-
10.37Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
-
10.94University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
-
11.2University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
-
8.42Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
-
14.98St. John's College-0.470.0%1st Place
-
8.32Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 22.4% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gebb | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 19.2% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 4.6% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Schumacher | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 14.9% | 50.9% | 0.0% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.