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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.24+3.05vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.26+2.09vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.19vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.95+0.42vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-2.29vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-2.38vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.58-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05George Washington University1.2411.5%1st Place
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4.09North Carolina State University1.2610.8%1st Place
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2.81U. S. Naval Academy2.0426.2%1st Place
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4.42Old Dominion University0.958.8%1st Place
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2.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0326.6%1st Place
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3.62St. Mary's College of Maryland1.3514.7%1st Place
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6.3University of Virginia-0.581.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chiara Perotti Correa | 11.5% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 20.3% | 18.8% | 6.6% |
Olivia Sowa | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 19.5% | 19.8% | 7.1% |
Eva Blauvelt | 26.2% | 23.2% | 18.7% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
Elizabeth Gildea | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 27.6% | 9.1% |
Emily Bornarth | 26.6% | 23.8% | 20.1% | 16.1% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
Katherine Bennett | 14.7% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 3.9% |
Hannah Mercurio | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 11.8% | 71.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.