← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University1.24+3.06vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+0.76vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University0.95+1.35vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.26+0.05vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-1.37vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.04-3.19vs Predicted
-
7University of Virginia-0.58-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.06George Washington University1.2411.4%1st Place
-
2.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0325.6%1st Place
-
4.35Old Dominion University0.9510.7%1st Place
-
4.05North Carolina State University1.2611.3%1st Place
-
3.63St. Mary's College of Maryland1.3514.6%1st Place
-
2.81U. S. Naval Academy2.0424.9%1st Place
-
6.35University of Virginia-0.581.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 11.4% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 19.6% | 6.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 25.6% | 23.0% | 22.2% | 14.5% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 18.8% | 25.7% | 9.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 11.3% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 18.9% | 19.5% | 6.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 14.6% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 3.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 24.9% | 23.8% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 11.7% | 72.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.