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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.26vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+0.12vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-0.16vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.24-0.84vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.58-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26U. S. Naval Academy2.0430.0%1st Place
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2.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0337.4%1st Place
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2.84St. Mary's College of Maryland1.3517.6%1st Place
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3.16George Washington University1.2412.7%1st Place
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4.62University of Virginia-0.582.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 30.0% | 30.1% | 25.6% | 12.6% | 1.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 37.4% | 28.7% | 20.3% | 11.8% | 1.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 17.6% | 22.1% | 26.0% | 27.4% | 6.9% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 12.7% | 16.1% | 23.6% | 37.7% | 10.0% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 10.5% | 79.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.