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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+1.14vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+0.84vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.75vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.24-0.87vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.58-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0334.4%1st Place
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2.84St. Mary's College of Maryland1.3518.1%1st Place
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2.25U. S. Naval Academy2.0432.0%1st Place
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3.13George Washington University1.2413.5%1st Place
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4.64University of Virginia-0.581.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 34.4% | 31.0% | 21.9% | 11.3% | 1.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 18.1% | 20.7% | 26.4% | 28.7% | 6.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 32.0% | 28.9% | 23.4% | 13.6% | 2.1% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 13.5% | 16.4% | 23.6% | 36.4% | 10.2% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 10.0% | 80.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.