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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+1.89vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+0.13vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.72vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.24-0.91vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.58-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89St. Mary's College of Maryland1.3517.8%1st Place
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2.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0336.2%1st Place
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2.28U. S. Naval Academy2.0430.2%1st Place
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3.09George Washington University1.2413.3%1st Place
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4.6University of Virginia-0.582.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Bennett | 17.8% | 19.2% | 26.5% | 29.4% | 7.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 36.2% | 30.2% | 19.6% | 12.2% | 1.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 30.2% | 29.3% | 24.5% | 13.7% | 2.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 13.3% | 18.3% | 24.1% | 34.4% | 10.0% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 78.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.