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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.87+3.52vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.13vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College1.73+1.98vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.09+6.93vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.64+0.29vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.84+1.84vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-0.56+5.23vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.21-1.57vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.25-2.59vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester0.69-1.71vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.38-1.75vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-0.08-1.24vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.31-3.49vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.24-2.80vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo-0.24-3.57vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech-0.24-4.80vs Predicted
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17St. John's College-0.72-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Fordham University1.870.2%1st Place
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4.13University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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4.98Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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10.93Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.29Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.84William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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12.23Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
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6.43Villanova University1.210.1%1st Place
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6.41Webb Institute1.250.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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9.25Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
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10.76Penn State University-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.51Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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11.2Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.43University of Buffalo-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.2Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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12.79St. John's College-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Ekholm | 15.5% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Farned | 18.6% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Keesee | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hickey | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morrissey | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| John Kramer | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| James Mullane | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Evan Frolov | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.