Race 1A

eckerd

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Atlee Kohl 19.2% 19.4% 14.6% 13.5% 10.4% 7.4% 5.9% 4.3% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Mateo Rodriguez 13.5% 12.8% 11.7% 11.1% 10.7% 10.1% 9.4% 6.6% 5.8% 3.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Valerio Palamara 8.9% 9.6% 8.3% 9.7% 8.2% 8.4% 9.2% 8.9% 8.6% 8.5% 4.8% 4.6% 2.1% 0.4%
Scott Harris 10.6% 10.3% 10.9% 9.7% 10.2% 9.6% 9.0% 8.0% 7.8% 5.5% 4.0% 2.5% 1.6% 0.4%
Alex Bowdler 3.1% 3.5% 4.2% 4.5% 4.7% 5.2% 6.5% 7.8% 9.0% 9.0% 11.5% 12.2% 11.2% 7.4%
Eden Nykamp 9.4% 9.2% 9.9% 9.8% 10.1% 9.4% 10.4% 8.5% 7.7% 6.3% 4.5% 3.0% 1.5% 0.3%
Zachariah Schemel 8.5% 7.6% 9.2% 9.2% 10.8% 9.3% 10.2% 8.3% 9.6% 6.8% 4.7% 3.5% 1.8% 0.5%
Matthew Beretta 2.5% 2.9% 2.9% 3.9% 3.5% 4.7% 4.6% 6.0% 6.6% 7.8% 10.2% 13.6% 17.2% 13.6%
Seamus Hendrickson 4.9% 5.3% 6.5% 6.8% 6.5% 7.8% 7.4% 8.6% 8.5% 9.7% 11.2% 9.4% 4.7% 2.8%
Daniel Hodges 3.5% 4.4% 3.9% 4.0% 6.0% 6.6% 6.5% 7.7% 9.1% 10.1% 11.5% 11.9% 10.2% 4.7%
Connor Teague 1.7% 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 2.6% 3.0% 3.3% 4.9% 6.2% 8.2% 11.5% 19.2% 31.9%
Thomas Pappas 4.8% 5.0% 4.8% 5.1% 6.0% 7.1% 6.4% 9.6% 7.9% 10.9% 10.7% 10.2% 7.9% 3.5%
Connor Mraz 8.2% 7.8% 9.2% 8.9% 8.8% 9.5% 8.6% 9.0% 8.3% 8.1% 6.7% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9%
Kyle Meyhoefer 1.1% 0.9% 2.1% 1.8% 1.8% 2.5% 2.7% 3.2% 3.6% 5.9% 8.6% 11.8% 20.3% 33.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.