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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College1.73+3.89vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.12vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.87+1.53vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.25+2.60vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.84+2.79vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-0.56+6.26vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-0.08+3.83vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.31+1.39vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.64-3.76vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.38-0.63vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo-0.24+0.31vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-0.09-1.19vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.69-4.80vs Predicted
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14Villanova University1.21-7.56vs Predicted
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15St. John's College-0.72-2.22vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech-0.24-4.57vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech-0.24-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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4.12University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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4.53Fordham University1.870.2%1st Place
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6.6Webb Institute1.250.1%1st Place
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7.79William and Mary0.840.1%1st Place
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12.26Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
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10.83Penn State University-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.39Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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5.24Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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9.37Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
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11.31University of Buffalo-0.240.0%1st Place
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10.81Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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6.44Villanova University1.210.1%1st Place
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12.78St. John's College-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.43Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.43Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Schippe | 13.1% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Farned | 18.8% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 15.9% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morrissey | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Keesee | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hickey | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 22.9% | 0.0% |
| John Kramer | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| James Mullane | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Evan Frolov | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 18.2% | 27.6% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.