Race 2A

eckerd

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Atlee Kohl 20.8% 16.5% 14.6% 14.3% 9.9% 8.1% 5.3% 5.0% 2.7% 1.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott Harris 10.7% 10.6% 11.7% 9.6% 9.3% 9.3% 9.2% 7.4% 7.3% 5.9% 4.4% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Eden Nykamp 10.8% 8.4% 10.8% 10.1% 10.3% 8.8% 8.4% 8.8% 7.5% 6.6% 5.1% 2.8% 1.1% 0.5%
Valerio Palamara 7.8% 9.7% 8.1% 9.3% 8.8% 9.8% 9.3% 10.3% 7.8% 7.4% 6.1% 3.4% 2.1% 0.1%
Mateo Rodriguez 11.3% 12.4% 13.1% 11.2% 11.7% 10.1% 8.3% 7.5% 5.5% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Zachariah Schemel 9.0% 9.7% 9.3% 9.0% 9.7% 9.4% 8.9% 7.8% 9.2% 7.0% 5.7% 3.5% 1.5% 0.2%
Daniel Hodges 3.4% 4.8% 4.0% 5.1% 6.8% 5.1% 7.3% 8.0% 8.5% 10.4% 11.2% 10.6% 10.1% 4.9%
Thomas Pappas 4.9% 5.1% 5.1% 5.2% 5.8% 6.8% 8.0% 8.6% 9.1% 10.0% 10.4% 9.8% 8.0% 3.1%
Connor Mraz 7.2% 8.6% 8.4% 7.8% 9.4% 9.4% 9.9% 8.8% 8.8% 8.3% 6.0% 4.2% 2.4% 0.8%
Alex Bowdler 3.5% 3.8% 3.9% 4.8% 4.2% 5.8% 6.4% 6.7% 8.6% 10.0% 11.8% 13.4% 10.5% 6.7%
Seamus Hendrickson 5.5% 5.3% 5.3% 6.6% 6.1% 8.1% 7.8% 9.6% 9.6% 10.2% 9.3% 8.8% 5.9% 2.1%
Connor Teague 1.0% 1.5% 1.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.9% 3.4% 3.0% 3.7% 4.9% 6.7% 11.8% 20.2% 34.8%
Matthew Beretta 2.4% 2.2% 2.6% 3.1% 4.3% 4.5% 5.1% 5.0% 6.9% 8.2% 11.5% 15.0% 17.9% 11.3%
Kyle Meyhoefer 1.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.7% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.5% 5.0% 5.5% 8.1% 11.8% 18.9% 35.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.