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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary0.84+6.57vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.87+2.58vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-0.09+7.83vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.22vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College1.730.00vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24+5.33vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.64-1.65vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.21-1.59vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester0.69-0.79vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.38-0.64vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute-0.56+1.21vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.25-5.52vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.31-3.46vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo-0.24-2.73vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-0.08-4.10vs Predicted
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16St. John's College-0.72-3.25vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech-0.24-5.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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4.58Fordham University1.870.2%1st Place
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10.83Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.22University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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5.0Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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11.33Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.35Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.41Villanova University1.210.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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9.36Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
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12.21Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
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6.48Webb Institute1.250.1%1st Place
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9.54Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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11.27University of Buffalo-0.240.0%1st Place
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10.9Penn State University-0.080.0%1st Place
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12.75St. John's College-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.33Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Keesee | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 16.2% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Joe Farned | 17.3% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 13.2% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 13.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hickey | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 22.4% | 0.0% |
| James Morrissey | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| James Mullane | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kramer | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Evan Frolov | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.