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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+2.52vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.93+5.56vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.75vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.43+4.99vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.71+4.02vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.77-1.74vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.97+0.18vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20-4.01vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.12vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.65-0.10vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.32+0.99vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-3.98vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-4.80vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.27-3.29vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.79-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Cornell University2.3821.9%1st Place
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7.56George Washington University0.935.9%1st Place
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5.75U. S. Naval Academy2.048.3%1st Place
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8.99Columbia University0.433.5%1st Place
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9.02Fordham University0.712.9%1st Place
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4.26University of Pennsylvania1.7716.8%1st Place
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7.18Old Dominion University0.976.2%1st Place
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3.99Georgetown University2.2016.8%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.2%1st Place
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9.9Christopher Newport University0.651.9%1st Place
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11.99Princeton University-0.321.1%1st Place
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8.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.3%1st Place
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8.2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.8%1st Place
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10.71SUNY Maritime College-0.271.9%1st Place
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12.04Washington College-0.791.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 21.9% | 19.4% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 16.8% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 16.8% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 3.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 6.9% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 30.4% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 13.5% |
| Imogene Nuss | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 18.4% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.