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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.87+3.50vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.10vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester0.69+5.24vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.21+2.65vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-0.08+5.88vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College1.73-0.95vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.64-1.68vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo-0.24+3.24vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.09+1.80vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.38-0.62vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.24+0.29vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.84-4.30vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.56-0.79vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.25-7.71vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.31-5.40vs Predicted
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16St. John's College-0.72-3.25vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech-0.24-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Fordham University1.870.2%1st Place
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4.1University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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8.24University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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6.65Villanova University1.210.1%1st Place
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10.88Penn State University-0.080.0%1st Place
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5.05Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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5.32Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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11.24University of Buffalo-0.240.0%1st Place
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10.8Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.38Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
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11.29Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.7William and Mary0.840.1%1st Place
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12.21Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
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6.29Webb Institute1.250.1%1st Place
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9.6Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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12.75St. John's College-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.29Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Ekholm | 15.7% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Farned | 18.5% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Kramer | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 13.0% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Mullane | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Keesee | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hickey | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| James Morrissey | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Evan Frolov | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.