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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+5.24vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.45+3.92vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.54+2.86vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.99+1.71vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.87+1.53vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.32-2.30vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.90+0.80vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.32+0.83vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.95-4.13vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.83-1.41vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.43+0.53vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.49-0.61vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.17-3.13vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.75-5.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Hampton University1.478.9%1st Place
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5.92University of South Florida1.459.2%1st Place
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5.86University of South Florida1.549.8%1st Place
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5.71North Carolina State University1.9910.2%1st Place
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6.53Princeton University1.877.6%1st Place
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3.7University of Miami2.3220.0%1st Place
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7.8University of Wisconsin0.904.9%1st Place
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8.83Salve Regina University1.323.8%1st Place
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4.87Florida State University1.9513.4%1st Place
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8.59Christopher Newport University0.834.1%1st Place
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11.53Georgia Institute of Technology-0.430.9%1st Place
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11.39Rollins College-0.491.1%1st Place
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9.87Northwestern University0.172.5%1st Place
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8.16Jacksonville University0.753.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
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Valerio Palamara | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
Zachariah Schemel | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
Eden Nykamp | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Scott Harris | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Connor Mraz | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
Atlee Kohl | 20.0% | 20.9% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Seamus Hendrickson | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
Alex Bowdler | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 5.8% |
Mateo Rodriguez | 13.4% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Daniel Hodges | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 4.4% |
Kyle Meyhoefer | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 20.5% | 34.9% |
Connor Teague | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 20.5% | 34.0% |
Matthew Beretta | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 12.9% |
Thomas Pappas | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.