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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+3.02vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.25+4.36vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.56+9.21vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College1.73+1.12vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.87-0.40vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.21+0.65vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.64-1.71vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.09+2.71vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-0.08+1.75vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.38-0.62vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester0.69-2.78vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.31-2.47vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo-0.24-1.68vs Predicted
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14William and Mary0.84-6.37vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech-0.24-3.56vs Predicted
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16St. John's College-0.72-3.23vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech-0.24-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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6.36Webb Institute1.250.1%1st Place
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12.21Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
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5.12Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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4.6Fordham University1.870.2%1st Place
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6.65Villanova University1.210.1%1st Place
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5.29Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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10.71Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.75Penn State University-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.38Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
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8.22University of Rochester0.690.1%1st Place
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9.53Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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11.32University of Buffalo-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.63William and Mary0.840.1%1st Place
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11.44Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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12.77St. John's College-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.44Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Farned | 20.1% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morrissey | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hickey | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 11.5% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 15.2% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kramer | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| James Mullane | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Keesee | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Evan Frolov | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 28.1% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.