← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.99+4.92vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami2.32+1.87vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.54+2.96vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin0.90+3.93vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University1.87+1.55vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College-0.49+5.42vs Predicted
-
7Florida State University1.95-1.95vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida1.45-1.92vs Predicted
-
9Northwestern University0.17+1.07vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University1.31-3.17vs Predicted
-
11Hampton University1.47-4.57vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University0.75-3.63vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University0.83-4.10vs Predicted
-
14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.43-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.92North Carolina State University1.998.8%1st Place
-
3.87University of Miami2.3220.6%1st Place
-
5.96University of South Florida1.548.8%1st Place
-
7.93University of Wisconsin0.905.1%1st Place
-
6.55Princeton University1.878.6%1st Place
-
11.42Rollins College-0.490.9%1st Place
-
5.05Florida State University1.9511.9%1st Place
-
6.08University of South Florida1.458.6%1st Place
-
10.07Northwestern University0.172.6%1st Place
-
6.83Salve Regina University1.316.5%1st Place
-
6.43Hampton University1.478.5%1st Place
-
8.37Jacksonville University0.754.2%1st Place
-
8.9Christopher Newport University0.833.6%1st Place
-
11.62Georgia Institute of Technology-0.431.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 20.6% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Connor Mraz | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Connor Teague | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 20.5% | 33.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Beretta | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 13.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Valerio Palamara | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Pappas | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 5.9% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 21.2% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.