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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.99+4.92vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.45+4.36vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31+3.96vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.54+1.78vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.47+1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.32-2.24vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.87-0.35vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.95-2.85vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.75-0.62vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.90-2.06vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.17-0.86vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.83-3.32vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.43-1.46vs Predicted
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14Rollins College-0.49-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92North Carolina State University1.998.9%1st Place
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6.36University of South Florida1.457.1%1st Place
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6.96Salve Regina University1.316.7%1st Place
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5.78University of South Florida1.549.2%1st Place
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6.17Hampton University1.478.0%1st Place
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3.76University of Miami2.3221.1%1st Place
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6.65Princeton University1.877.8%1st Place
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5.15Florida State University1.9513.3%1st Place
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8.38Jacksonville University0.753.8%1st Place
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7.94University of Wisconsin0.905.3%1st Place
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10.14Northwestern University0.171.8%1st Place
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8.68Christopher Newport University0.834.9%1st Place
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11.54Georgia Institute of Technology-0.431.1%1st Place
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11.55Rollins College-0.491.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Valerio Palamara | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 21.1% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| Matthew Beretta | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 19.4% | 13.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 4.8% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 20.0% | 36.8% |
| Connor Teague | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 21.1% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.