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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.87+3.50vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.25+4.39vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-0.09+7.84vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.17vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.38+4.33vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.64-0.69vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.21-0.30vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.84-0.43vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College1.73-3.99vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-0.56+2.31vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.24+0.25vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo-0.24-0.68vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.69-4.77vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.24-2.75vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.31-5.57vs Predicted
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16St. John's College-0.72-3.21vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-0.08-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Fordham University1.870.2%1st Place
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6.39Webb Institute1.250.1%1st Place
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10.84Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.17University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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9.33Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
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5.31Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.7Villanova University1.210.1%1st Place
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7.57William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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5.01Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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12.31Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
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11.25Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.32University of Buffalo-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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11.25Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.43Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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12.79St. John's College-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.87Penn State University-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Ekholm | 16.2% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morrissey | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Joe Farned | 17.6% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Keesee | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 14.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hickey | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| James Mullane | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Evan Frolov | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 27.7% | 0.0% |
| John Kramer | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.