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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+2.89vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.54+3.97vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.45+3.25vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.95+0.90vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.99+0.87vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31+0.87vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.90+0.88vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.87-1.31vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.43+2.58vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.47-3.51vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-0.49+0.43vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.17-1.94vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.83-4.18vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.75-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89University of Miami2.3218.9%1st Place
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5.97University of South Florida1.549.6%1st Place
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6.25University of South Florida1.457.6%1st Place
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4.9Florida State University1.9513.3%1st Place
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5.87North Carolina State University1.999.3%1st Place
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6.87Salve Regina University1.317.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Wisconsin0.905.1%1st Place
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6.69Princeton University1.877.1%1st Place
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11.58Georgia Institute of Technology-0.431.1%1st Place
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6.49Hampton University1.478.4%1st Place
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11.43Rollins College-0.491.6%1st Place
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10.06Northwestern University0.172.6%1st Place
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8.82Christopher Newport University0.834.0%1st Place
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8.29Jacksonville University0.754.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 18.9% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.3% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Scott Harris | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Connor Mraz | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 20.6% | 36.9% |
| Valerio Palamara | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Connor Teague | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 20.4% | 34.4% |
| Matthew Beretta | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 18.3% | 13.1% |
| Daniel Hodges | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 5.6% |
| Thomas Pappas | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.