← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.99+4.43vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami2.32+1.67vs Predicted
-
3Hampton University1.47+2.82vs Predicted
-
4Florida State University1.95+0.78vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University1.32+3.63vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University0.75+1.77vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University0.83+1.25vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida1.54-2.33vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.45-3.11vs Predicted
-
10Princeton University1.87-3.84vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin0.90-3.64vs Predicted
-
12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.43-1.12vs Predicted
-
13Rollins College-0.49-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.43North Carolina State University1.9910.0%1st Place
-
3.67University of Miami2.3221.6%1st Place
-
5.82Hampton University1.479.0%1st Place
-
4.78Florida State University1.9514.1%1st Place
-
8.63Salve Regina University1.324.2%1st Place
-
7.77Jacksonville University0.754.2%1st Place
-
8.25Christopher Newport University0.833.6%1st Place
-
5.67University of South Florida1.549.6%1st Place
-
5.89University of South Florida1.458.8%1st Place
-
6.16Princeton University1.877.5%1st Place
-
7.36University of Wisconsin0.905.3%1st Place
-
10.88Georgia Institute of Technology-0.431.1%1st Place
-
10.69Rollins College-0.490.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Scott Harris | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
Atlee Kohl | 21.6% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Valerio Palamara | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
Mateo Rodriguez | 14.1% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Alex Bowdler | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 8.8% |
Thomas Pappas | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
Daniel Hodges | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 6.2% |
Eden Nykamp | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Zachariah Schemel | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
Connor Mraz | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
Seamus Hendrickson | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
Kyle Meyhoefer | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 21.6% | 39.6% |
Connor Teague | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 22.1% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.