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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Scott Harris 10.0% 10.7% 9.7% 11.2% 11.3% 10.9% 9.7% 8.5% 8.1% 5.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.3%
Atlee Kohl 21.6% 18.5% 15.0% 12.7% 10.6% 7.7% 5.3% 4.1% 2.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 9.0% 9.8% 10.8% 9.4% 9.3% 10.3% 9.1% 8.3% 8.5% 6.3% 5.3% 2.9% 0.9%
Mateo Rodriguez 14.1% 11.6% 12.7% 13.5% 10.3% 9.2% 9.0% 8.0% 5.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Alex Bowdler 4.2% 3.6% 3.8% 4.0% 4.7% 5.0% 7.0% 8.2% 10.0% 11.5% 14.5% 14.8% 8.8%
Thomas Pappas 4.2% 5.4% 5.1% 5.2% 6.7% 8.2% 8.5% 8.5% 9.6% 12.4% 12.2% 10.1% 4.0%
Daniel Hodges 3.6% 4.0% 4.9% 5.1% 6.7% 5.5% 7.8% 6.9% 9.5% 12.9% 15.0% 11.8% 6.2%
Eden Nykamp 9.6% 9.0% 10.3% 10.3% 10.8% 10.2% 9.1% 9.9% 7.8% 5.9% 4.6% 1.9% 0.4%
Zachariah Schemel 8.8% 10.0% 8.2% 9.3% 10.8% 10.2% 9.4% 9.9% 8.1% 7.2% 4.8% 2.6% 0.6%
Connor Mraz 7.5% 8.6% 9.8% 8.9% 8.2% 9.9% 10.0% 10.8% 8.8% 7.3% 6.2% 3.1% 0.9%
Seamus Hendrickson 5.3% 5.7% 6.7% 6.7% 6.0% 8.1% 8.8% 9.2% 11.3% 11.1% 10.7% 6.7% 3.6%
Kyle Meyhoefer 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 2.0% 3.1% 3.5% 5.0% 6.5% 10.5% 21.6% 39.6%
Connor Teague 0.9% 1.8% 1.4% 1.7% 2.5% 2.9% 3.1% 4.3% 5.5% 8.2% 10.9% 22.1% 34.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.