← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania3.51+0.92vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.87+2.86vs Predicted
-
3Ocean County College1.73+2.24vs Predicted
-
4Drexel University1.64+1.59vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute1.25+1.61vs Predicted
-
6William and Mary0.84+1.99vs Predicted
-
7University of Buffalo-0.24+4.42vs Predicted
-
8Syracuse University0.38+1.28vs Predicted
-
9Villanova University1.21-2.26vs Predicted
-
10Princeton University0.31-0.27vs Predicted
-
11University of Rochester0.69-2.66vs Predicted
-
12Virginia Tech-0.24-0.66vs Predicted
-
13St. John's College-0.72-0.26vs Predicted
-
14Virginia Tech-0.24-2.66vs Predicted
-
15Webb Institute-0.56-2.83vs Predicted
-
16Penn State University-0.08-4.98vs Predicted
-
17Monmouth University-0.09-5.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.92University of Pennsylvania3.510.5%1st Place
-
4.86Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
-
5.24Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
-
5.59Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
-
6.61Webb Institute1.250.0%1st Place
-
7.99William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
-
11.42University of Buffalo-0.240.0%1st Place
-
9.28Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
-
6.74Villanova University1.210.1%1st Place
-
9.73Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
-
8.34University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
-
11.34Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
-
12.74St. John's College-0.720.0%1st Place
-
11.34Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
-
12.17Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
-
11.02Penn State University-0.080.0%1st Place
-
11.01Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 50.8% | 25.0% | 13.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 10.7% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 6.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morrissey | 4.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Keesee | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| James Mullane | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Evan Frolov | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 27.6% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hickey | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
| John Kramer | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.