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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.99+4.64vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.45+3.75vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.95+1.77vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32-0.37vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.83+3.19vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.32+2.36vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.75+0.74vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.47-1.99vs Predicted
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9Princeton University1.87-2.76vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.90-2.49vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-0.49-0.11vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.43-1.23vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.54-7.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64North Carolina State University1.998.6%1st Place
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5.75University of South Florida1.4510.2%1st Place
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4.77Florida State University1.9512.7%1st Place
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3.63University of Miami2.3221.4%1st Place
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8.19Christopher Newport University0.834.2%1st Place
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8.36Salve Regina University1.323.6%1st Place
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7.74Jacksonville University0.754.5%1st Place
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6.01Hampton University1.478.3%1st Place
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6.24Princeton University1.878.4%1st Place
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7.51University of Wisconsin0.904.7%1st Place
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10.89Rollins College-0.490.9%1st Place
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10.77Georgia Institute of Technology-0.431.3%1st Place
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5.5University of South Florida1.5411.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Scott Harris | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
Zachariah Schemel | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
Mateo Rodriguez | 12.7% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Atlee Kohl | 21.4% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Daniel Hodges | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 6.2% |
Alex Bowdler | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 7.3% |
Thomas Pappas | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 3.6% |
Valerio Palamara | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
Connor Mraz | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
Seamus Hendrickson | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
Connor Teague | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 22.4% | 37.5% |
Kyle Meyhoefer | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 22.1% | 38.1% |
Eden Nykamp | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.