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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Scott Harris 8.6% 10.8% 9.3% 10.9% 10.6% 10.9% 9.8% 9.0% 7.0% 7.1% 3.4% 2.0% 0.5%
Zachariah Schemel 10.2% 8.7% 9.7% 9.8% 10.5% 9.6% 10.3% 8.2% 9.6% 5.7% 5.1% 2.2% 0.4%
Mateo Rodriguez 12.7% 13.4% 13.4% 11.3% 11.6% 10.2% 8.3% 7.8% 5.4% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Atlee Kohl 21.4% 18.4% 16.1% 13.0% 9.8% 8.0% 5.7% 3.6% 2.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel Hodges 4.2% 3.9% 4.8% 5.3% 5.5% 6.9% 6.7% 8.4% 10.1% 12.8% 14.1% 11.2% 6.2%
Alex Bowdler 3.6% 3.5% 4.9% 5.0% 6.3% 6.2% 7.1% 8.1% 8.9% 11.6% 13.8% 13.8% 7.3%
Thomas Pappas 4.5% 6.0% 5.5% 5.3% 5.7% 7.1% 7.9% 8.7% 11.2% 11.6% 13.0% 9.8% 3.6%
Valerio Palamara 8.3% 9.2% 9.3% 9.7% 9.1% 9.8% 9.3% 10.0% 8.6% 8.0% 4.9% 2.9% 0.9%
Connor Mraz 8.4% 7.2% 8.5% 9.2% 10.0% 8.5% 10.4% 10.1% 8.9% 8.1% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1%
Seamus Hendrickson 4.7% 5.5% 5.9% 6.2% 6.9% 7.9% 8.9% 9.7% 9.8% 11.5% 11.7% 7.5% 3.8%
Connor Teague 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 1.6% 2.2% 2.5% 2.7% 3.6% 5.3% 7.5% 10.9% 22.4% 37.5%
Kyle Meyhoefer 1.3% 1.0% 1.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.9% 3.5% 3.8% 4.8% 6.2% 10.1% 22.1% 38.1%
Eden Nykamp 11.2% 11.2% 9.5% 10.3% 9.5% 9.8% 9.4% 9.0% 7.9% 5.3% 4.1% 2.2% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.