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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+0.90vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.87+2.75vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.56+9.24vs Predicted
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4Villanova University0.76+4.21vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.64+0.41vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.25+0.65vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.38+2.37vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.84-0.31vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.31+0.52vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College1.73-4.83vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.24+0.27vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-0.08-1.23vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-0.09-2.22vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester0.69-5.85vs Predicted
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15St. John's College-0.72-2.25vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech-0.24-4.73vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo-0.24-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9University of Pennsylvania3.510.5%1st Place
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4.75Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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12.24Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
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8.21Villanova University0.760.0%1st Place
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5.41Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.65Webb Institute1.250.0%1st Place
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9.37Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
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7.69William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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9.52Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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5.17Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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11.27Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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10.77Penn State University-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.78Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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12.75St. John's College-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.27Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.37University of Buffalo-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 50.0% | 26.8% | 13.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 10.5% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hickey | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| William Joumas | 2.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morrissey | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Keesee | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 8.7% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| John Kramer | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Evan Frolov | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 28.7% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| James Mullane | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.