Race 1A

noringer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Pierre DuPont 26.5% 24.9% 20.5% 13.8% 8.2% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Macklin Fluehr 39.6% 28.4% 17.4% 9.2% 3.3% 2.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jamila Smith-Dell 3.9% 6.4% 7.8% 12.4% 12.1% 17.4% 18.5% 14.3% 6.9% 0.3%
Moussa Diolombi 3.5% 6.2% 8.9% 13.1% 17.6% 15.6% 15.3% 13.0% 6.3% 0.5%
Samuel Campbell 15.3% 18.7% 21.6% 19.8% 11.7% 7.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Sarah Hyman 3.9% 4.9% 7.0% 8.0% 13.5% 15.3% 16.0% 19.1% 11.7% 0.6%
Emily Peabody 3.1% 3.9% 6.8% 10.1% 13.5% 16.6% 17.8% 16.9% 10.2% 1.1%
James Paolino 3.2% 5.1% 7.4% 9.6% 14.3% 14.9% 16.9% 17.0% 11.1% 0.5%
Maia Nelles-Sager 0.9% 1.4% 2.5% 3.9% 5.6% 6.6% 9.8% 16.0% 48.6% 4.7%
Katie Gailiunas 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 1.6% 4.7% 92.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.