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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.81+1.76vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.18+3.48vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.33-0.49vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12+0.57vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University-0.15+0.01vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.11-1.09vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.28-5.84vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.11-3.02vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.20-2.23vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-3.98-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Tufts University1.810.3%1st Place
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5.48Northeastern University0.180.1%1st Place
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3.51Boston University1.330.1%1st Place
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5.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
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6.01Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.91University of New Hampshire-0.110.0%1st Place
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2.16Brown University2.280.4%1st Place
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5.98McGill University-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.77Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Connecticut-3.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre DuPont | 26.7% | 24.0% | 20.8% | 14.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Campbell | 14.7% | 16.8% | 19.6% | 20.0% | 16.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 7.0% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Hyman | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 10.8% | 0.8% |
| Emily Peabody | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 19.2% | 10.0% | 0.4% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 37.2% | 30.8% | 18.2% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Paolino | 2.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 12.1% | 0.5% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 47.9% | 4.8% |
| Katie Gailiunas | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 4.7% | 92.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.