Race 3A

noringer

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Macklin Fluehr 41.7% 26.7% 15.6% 9.7% 4.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Pierre DuPont 23.2% 27.3% 20.5% 15.4% 8.3% 4.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Campbell 14.7% 16.6% 22.3% 17.6% 16.9% 7.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Moussa Diolombi 3.3% 6.5% 9.3% 13.6% 14.9% 18.1% 14.5% 12.8% 6.5% 0.5%
Sarah Hyman 3.9% 5.5% 7.6% 8.4% 9.5% 15.8% 18.9% 17.9% 11.8% 0.7%
Jamila Smith-Dell 5.5% 6.0% 9.2% 9.9% 16.5% 15.5% 16.5% 13.4% 7.1% 0.4%
Emily Peabody 2.9% 4.5% 6.9% 10.2% 13.2% 16.3% 16.8% 18.0% 10.1% 1.1%
James Paolino 3.5% 5.0% 6.6% 11.0% 12.3% 14.5% 17.0% 18.5% 11.1% 0.5%
Maia Nelles-Sager 1.3% 1.6% 2.0% 4.1% 4.2% 6.7% 10.7% 16.6% 48.1% 4.7%
Katie Gailiunas 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.6% 1.2% 5.1% 92.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.