← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston4.34+4.82vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University4.33+3.86vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont3.62+5.45vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida3.49+5.03vs Predicted
-
5Boston College4.92-0.85vs Predicted
-
6Brown University4.25+0.43vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California3.16+3.17vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin3.31+1.45vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+0.28vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy4.16-3.51vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University3.81-3.01vs Predicted
-
12Texas A&M University1.27+3.23vs Predicted
-
13University of Oregon2.51-0.58vs Predicted
-
14University of Florida3.41-4.57vs Predicted
-
15Northwestern University1.49-0.18vs Predicted
-
16Washington College3.65-7.55vs Predicted
-
17University of Hawaii3.36-7.46vs Predicted
-
18Texas A&M University1.27-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.82College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
-
5.86Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
-
8.45University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
-
9.03University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
4.15Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
-
6.43Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
-
10.17University of Southern California3.160.0%1st Place
-
9.45University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
-
9.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
-
6.49U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
-
7.99Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
-
15.23Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
-
12.42University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
-
9.43University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
-
14.82Northwestern University1.490.0%1st Place
-
8.45Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
-
9.54University of Hawaii3.360.0%1st Place
-
15.23Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Benvenutti | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 20.1% | 18.4% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Brown | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Leif Evensen | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Martin Sterling | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Criezis | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 23.8% | 46.9% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 20.6% | 14.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wien | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 28.0% | 36.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 23.8% | 46.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.