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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+2.52vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+2.28vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.54vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+4.81vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+3.16vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20-1.97vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.93+0.53vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.71+0.89vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-0.90vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.65-0.16vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.97-3.78vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.32+0.18vs Predicted
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13Columbia University0.43-4.04vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.27-3.23vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.79-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Cornell University2.3821.8%1st Place
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4.28University of Pennsylvania1.7716.4%1st Place
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5.54U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.1%1st Place
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8.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.6%1st Place
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8.16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.9%1st Place
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4.03Georgetown University2.2017.1%1st Place
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7.53George Washington University0.934.5%1st Place
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8.89Fordham University0.714.0%1st Place
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8.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.7%1st Place
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9.84Christopher Newport University0.652.5%1st Place
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7.22Old Dominion University0.975.2%1st Place
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12.18Princeton University-0.320.7%1st Place
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8.96Columbia University0.433.1%1st Place
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10.77SUNY Maritime College-0.271.6%1st Place
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12.17Washington College-0.791.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 21.8% | 19.7% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 16.4% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 17.1% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 6.4% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 32.1% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 15.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 18.9% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.