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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.32+7.37vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.87+4.17vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.95+1.78vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.54+1.56vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.32-1.36vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.99-0.46vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.45-1.11vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.83+0.10vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.49+1.70vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.47-4.03vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.90-3.82vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.44-3.47vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.43-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.37Salve Regina University1.323.1%1st Place
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6.17Princeton University1.877.4%1st Place
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4.78Florida State University1.9514.2%1st Place
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5.56University of South Florida1.549.9%1st Place
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3.64University of Miami2.3221.4%1st Place
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5.54North Carolina State University1.999.2%1st Place
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5.89University of South Florida1.458.3%1st Place
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8.1Christopher Newport University0.834.7%1st Place
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10.7Rollins College-0.491.7%1st Place
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5.97Hampton University1.478.6%1st Place
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7.18University of Wisconsin0.906.6%1st Place
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8.53Jacksonville University0.443.2%1st Place
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10.59Georgia Institute of Technology-0.431.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
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Alex Bowdler | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 7.2% |
Connor Mraz | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
Mateo Rodriguez | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Eden Nykamp | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
Atlee Kohl | 21.4% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Scott Harris | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
Zachariah Schemel | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Daniel Hodges | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 5.6% |
Connor Teague | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 20.3% | 36.9% |
Valerio Palamara | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
Seamus Hendrickson | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
Josh Becker | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 8.1% |
Kyle Meyhoefer | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 21.9% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.