Race 4A

noringer

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Macklin Fluehr 41.4% 27.2% 16.2% 8.2% 4.5% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pierre DuPont 23.0% 27.2% 21.6% 14.1% 7.8% 5.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Sarah Hyman 2.9% 5.1% 6.4% 9.3% 10.6% 15.3% 17.2% 20.9% 11.9% 0.4%
James Paolino 2.7% 4.4% 6.5% 10.6% 14.7% 15.7% 16.1% 17.6% 10.8% 0.9%
Samuel Campbell 15.4% 18.7% 21.7% 19.4% 12.2% 7.1% 4.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Moussa Diolombi 5.9% 6.0% 8.6% 12.6% 15.2% 17.0% 15.0% 13.2% 6.2% 0.3%
Jamila Smith-Dell 3.9% 4.9% 9.0% 12.4% 15.7% 17.3% 16.7% 13.3% 6.4% 0.4%
Emily Peabody 3.5% 5.0% 7.4% 9.4% 13.7% 14.2% 18.3% 16.6% 11.2% 0.7%
Maia Nelles-Sager 1.3% 1.3% 2.5% 3.9% 5.5% 5.8% 10.7% 15.9% 48.4% 4.7%
Katie Gailiunas 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 1.4% 4.6% 92.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.