Race 14A

eckerd

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alex Bowdler 3.1% 3.6% 4.9% 5.7% 5.3% 6.2% 5.9% 9.0% 10.0% 11.7% 14.2% 12.8% 7.5%
Atlee Kohl 21.1% 18.0% 15.8% 14.0% 9.3% 8.3% 5.5% 4.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Connor Mraz 7.2% 8.3% 9.2% 8.5% 10.4% 10.0% 9.7% 8.8% 10.1% 7.7% 6.0% 3.5% 0.7%
Scott Harris 9.5% 10.3% 9.3% 10.2% 11.5% 11.7% 10.7% 7.9% 7.3% 6.3% 3.4% 1.8% 0.1%
Zachariah Schemel 9.4% 9.4% 10.0% 10.1% 8.9% 9.6% 11.6% 9.0% 7.3% 7.2% 4.5% 2.4% 0.5%
Valerio Palamara 8.9% 8.9% 9.6% 10.4% 9.8% 8.7% 10.1% 9.8% 9.4% 6.2% 4.7% 2.6% 0.8%
Daniel Hodges 3.6% 4.9% 4.3% 4.9% 5.5% 6.8% 7.0% 9.2% 12.2% 11.7% 13.4% 11.3% 5.1%
Mateo Rodriguez 14.0% 12.7% 12.7% 13.0% 11.8% 10.7% 8.6% 7.0% 4.2% 3.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Kyle Meyhoefer 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 1.4% 2.5% 2.6% 2.5% 3.4% 6.2% 8.2% 12.2% 20.8% 36.1%
Josh Becker 3.5% 4.8% 3.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.8% 7.4% 9.0% 9.2% 12.0% 14.3% 14.5% 8.4%
Seamus Hendrickson 6.2% 5.9% 6.1% 6.3% 7.9% 8.0% 8.3% 8.7% 11.3% 11.5% 10.1% 6.7% 3.0%
Eden Nykamp 10.8% 9.7% 11.2% 9.3% 10.3% 10.4% 9.0% 10.4% 6.8% 6.3% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3%
Connor Teague 1.6% 1.7% 2.1% 2.0% 2.2% 2.2% 3.7% 3.6% 3.7% 6.8% 11.7% 21.6% 37.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.