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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.81+1.12vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.18+1.73vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.33-1.27vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12-0.42vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.11-1.03vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.15-1.87vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.20-1.17vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.11-3.91vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-3.98-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Tufts University1.810.4%1st Place
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4.73Northeastern University0.180.1%1st Place
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2.73Boston University1.330.3%1st Place
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4.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.1%1st Place
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4.97University of New Hampshire-0.110.1%1st Place
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5.13Brandeis University-0.150.1%1st Place
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6.83Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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5.09McGill University-0.110.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Connecticut-3.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre DuPont | 40.0% | 30.2% | 15.6% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 5.9% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Campbell | 25.4% | 26.1% | 19.6% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 8.4% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 6.3% | 0.2% |
| Emily Peabody | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Hyman | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 18.7% | 11.2% | 0.4% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 17.7% | 48.7% | 4.9% |
| James Paolino | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 0.7% |
| Katie Gailiunas | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 92.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.