← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Florida State University1.62+3.68vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University1.21+4.36vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami1.93+0.87vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.19+1.99vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University0.77+2.59vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College0.41+2.16vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University-0.21+3.05vs Predicted
-
8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08+1.91vs Predicted
-
9Hampton University0.72-1.78vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University0.59-1.86vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College0.90-4.20vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University0.56-4.22vs Predicted
-
13Princeton University0.84-5.92vs Predicted
-
14University of Kansas-0.69-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.68Florida State University1.6214.9%1st Place
-
6.36Salve Regina University1.219.1%1st Place
-
3.87University of Miami1.9320.3%1st Place
-
5.99University of South Florida1.199.6%1st Place
-
7.59North Carolina State University0.775.2%1st Place
-
8.16Rollins College0.415.2%1st Place
-
10.05Northwestern University-0.213.0%1st Place
-
9.91Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.8%1st Place
-
7.22Hampton University0.725.9%1st Place
-
8.14Christopher Newport University0.594.3%1st Place
-
6.8Eckerd College0.907.1%1st Place
-
7.78Jacksonville University0.565.1%1st Place
-
7.08Princeton University0.845.9%1st Place
-
11.37University of Kansas-0.691.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Meagher | 14.9% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Cronin | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 20.3% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Harrison Bailey | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% |
| Maxime Visa | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 18.6% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 17.8% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Aden Anderson | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Asher Green | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Sydney VanMeerhaeghe | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.