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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.62+3.71vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.21+4.27vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.93+1.14vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.41+4.04vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.19+0.95vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.59+2.14vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.84+0.06vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.77-0.30vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.90-2.35vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08-0.04vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.72-3.91vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.56-4.20vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-0.21-2.78vs Predicted
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14University of Kansas-0.69-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Florida State University1.6214.5%1st Place
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6.27Salve Regina University1.218.9%1st Place
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4.14University of Miami1.9318.4%1st Place
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8.04Rollins College0.414.4%1st Place
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5.95University of South Florida1.1910.0%1st Place
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8.14Christopher Newport University0.594.8%1st Place
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7.06Princeton University0.847.0%1st Place
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7.7North Carolina State University0.776.3%1st Place
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6.65Eckerd College0.907.8%1st Place
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9.96Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.6%1st Place
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7.09Hampton University0.726.0%1st Place
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7.8Jacksonville University0.565.8%1st Place
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10.22Northwestern University-0.211.9%1st Place
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11.28University of Kansas-0.691.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Meagher | 14.5% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Cronin | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 18.4% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Luke Hayes | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| Asher Green | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Harrison Bailey | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Griffin Richardson | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 18.5% |
| Stefano Palamara | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Aden Anderson | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Maxime Visa | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 19.4% |
| Sydney VanMeerhaeghe | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.