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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.62+3.73vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.19+4.02vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.21+3.19vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.93+0.07vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.41+3.10vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.84+1.21vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08+2.95vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.59+0.15vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.90-2.31vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.72-2.85vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.56-3.40vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-0.21-1.90vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.77-5.35vs Predicted
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14University of Kansas-0.69-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Florida State University1.6214.4%1st Place
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6.02University of South Florida1.199.8%1st Place
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6.19Salve Regina University1.219.2%1st Place
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4.07University of Miami1.9319.2%1st Place
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8.1Rollins College0.414.2%1st Place
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7.21Princeton University0.846.6%1st Place
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9.95Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.5%1st Place
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8.15Christopher Newport University0.594.7%1st Place
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6.69Eckerd College0.908.3%1st Place
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7.15Hampton University0.726.4%1st Place
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7.6Jacksonville University0.565.0%1st Place
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10.1Northwestern University-0.212.5%1st Place
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7.65North Carolina State University0.775.2%1st Place
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11.4University of Kansas-0.692.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Meagher | 14.4% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Peter Cronin | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Dennis | 19.2% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 4.7% |
| Asher Green | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 17.3% |
| Luke Hayes | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Griffin Richardson | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Stefano Palamara | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Aden Anderson | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Maxime Visa | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 18.8% |
| Harrison Bailey | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Sydney VanMeerhaeghe | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.