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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.93+2.83vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.59+5.86vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.84+3.57vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.90+2.35vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.19+0.72vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.56+1.30vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.21-1.00vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.62-3.45vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.41-1.37vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University0.77-2.73vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.72-4.30vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08-2.75vs Predicted
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13University of Kansas-1.63-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83University of Miami1.9321.4%1st Place
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7.86Christopher Newport University0.595.0%1st Place
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6.57Princeton University0.847.0%1st Place
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6.35Eckerd College0.907.6%1st Place
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5.72University of South Florida1.199.2%1st Place
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7.3Jacksonville University0.565.1%1st Place
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6.0Salve Regina University1.219.0%1st Place
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4.55Florida State University1.6215.3%1st Place
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7.63Rollins College0.414.9%1st Place
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7.27North Carolina State University0.775.5%1st Place
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6.7Hampton University0.726.8%1st Place
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9.25Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.8%1st Place
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11.96University of Kansas-1.630.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 21.4% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 4.3% |
| Asher Green | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Griffin Richardson | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Aden Anderson | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 2.2% |
| Peter Cronin | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 15.3% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 3.2% |
| Harrison Bailey | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 2.5% |
| Stefano Palamara | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 24.0% | 11.2% |
| Robert Mikes | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 71.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.