Race 5B

eckerd

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Aidan Dennis 20.1% 17.2% 14.5% 13.4% 10.7% 8.6% 5.5% 4.2% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Joey Meagher 13.8% 14.7% 14.1% 11.6% 8.8% 9.6% 8.9% 7.8% 4.8% 3.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Peter Cronin 8.9% 9.7% 9.6% 9.2% 9.5% 8.2% 8.4% 9.6% 8.8% 7.8% 6.2% 3.5% 0.5%
Asher Green 7.6% 7.0% 7.6% 6.5% 8.5% 8.7% 8.9% 9.7% 9.0% 10.7% 8.2% 5.6% 2.0%
Harrison Bailey 6.2% 5.8% 6.7% 7.6% 8.6% 7.3% 8.1% 9.2% 9.4% 10.8% 9.8% 8.6% 1.9%
Griffin Richardson 8.0% 7.6% 8.0% 9.1% 9.5% 8.8% 9.5% 7.7% 10.2% 7.5% 8.2% 5.0% 0.9%
Aden Anderson 5.3% 7.0% 6.0% 7.3% 7.5% 7.4% 7.9% 9.6% 9.8% 9.9% 10.3% 9.8% 2.1%
Humberto Porrata 10.2% 9.7% 10.3% 9.4% 10.7% 10.4% 9.6% 8.5% 7.6% 6.1% 4.5% 2.8% 0.4%
Hilton Kamps 4.9% 5.6% 5.9% 6.4% 7.1% 8.9% 7.7% 9.0% 9.3% 9.5% 11.6% 10.3% 3.6%
Luke Hayes 4.7% 5.1% 5.9% 6.0% 5.8% 7.1% 9.1% 8.8% 8.9% 9.2% 12.3% 13.9% 3.3%
Cole Woerner 3.1% 2.6% 3.2% 4.8% 4.5% 4.1% 5.9% 6.5% 7.5% 9.8% 13.7% 23.3% 10.9%
Stefano Palamara 6.8% 7.4% 7.2% 7.6% 7.8% 9.5% 8.8% 8.0% 9.3% 10.3% 8.8% 7.0% 1.5%
Robert Mikes 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 2.5% 3.0% 4.2% 9.3% 72.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.