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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.84+5.64vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.62+2.36vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.59+4.77vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.21+2.08vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.72+1.73vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.93-2.10vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.41+0.73vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.56-0.66vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.77-1.77vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.90-3.62vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.19-5.35vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08-2.81vs Predicted
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13University of Kansas-1.63-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Princeton University0.847.0%1st Place
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4.36Florida State University1.6215.6%1st Place
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7.77Christopher Newport University0.595.1%1st Place
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6.08Salve Regina University1.218.6%1st Place
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6.73Hampton University0.727.3%1st Place
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3.9University of Miami1.9318.6%1st Place
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7.73Rollins College0.415.0%1st Place
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7.34Jacksonville University0.565.7%1st Place
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7.23North Carolina State University0.775.9%1st Place
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6.38Eckerd College0.907.7%1st Place
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5.65University of South Florida1.1910.0%1st Place
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9.19Georgia Institute of Technology-0.083.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Kansas-1.630.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Green | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Joey Meagher | 15.6% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hayes | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 3.1% |
| Peter Cronin | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Stefano Palamara | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 18.6% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 3.1% |
| Aden Anderson | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 2.5% |
| Harrison Bailey | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 2.6% |
| Griffin Richardson | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Cole Woerner | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 23.3% | 11.1% |
| Robert Mikes | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 10.1% | 72.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.