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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.67+7.47vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.00+5.22vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.90+4.56vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.43+1.49vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.05+1.83vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.93+1.27vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University3.26-0.93vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.56+0.54vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99-1.99vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.10+0.70vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut0.51+4.38vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+1.73vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.93+0.14vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-6.75vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-7.33vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University1.45-4.13vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.04-3.87vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.51-10.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.47Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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7.22Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.56Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.49Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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7.27Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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6.07Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.54Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.7Bowdoin College2.100.0%1st Place
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15.38University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
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13.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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14.14McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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8.67Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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12.87Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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14.13University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
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8.67Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Morrison | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Fraser | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 8.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 8.1% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Salk | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christian Houston-Floyd | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Austin Smyth | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 20.2% | 36.8% |
| George Luber | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 18.7% | 12.4% |
| Matt Palardy | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 19.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 8.3% |
| Ann Sager | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 19.1% |
| Scott Booth | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.