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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.05+5.99vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+6.95vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.43+2.70vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.93+3.20vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.42vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.56+2.66vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.67+1.28vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University3.26-2.99vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.51-1.14vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+2.65vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University1.45+0.85vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut0.51+2.58vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.00-7.07vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.90-7.90vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.10-5.60vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.99-9.92vs Predicted
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18McGill University0.93-3.55vs Predicted
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19University of New Hampshire1.04-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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8.95Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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5.7Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.2Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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8.66Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.28Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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6.01Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.86Roger Williams University2.510.0%1st Place
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13.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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12.85Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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15.58University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
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6.93Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.1Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.4Bowdoin College2.100.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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14.45McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
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13.87University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Armstrong | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Salk | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Harding | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Morrison | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| George Luber | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 12.2% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 8.2% |
| Austin Smyth | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 39.6% |
| Cameron Fraser | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| James Moody | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christian Houston-Floyd | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matt Palardy | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 23.3% | 19.6% |
| Ann Sager | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.