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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Aidan Dennis 20.5% 18.4% 16.1% 11.8% 10.5% 8.2% 5.5% 4.2% 2.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.4%
Peter Cronin 8.9% 8.6% 10.2% 8.3% 10.6% 10.5% 8.4% 9.7% 8.1% 7.8% 5.9% 3.1%
Luke Hayes 4.6% 5.9% 5.9% 6.3% 5.9% 7.3% 7.8% 9.6% 10.7% 10.5% 12.7% 12.8%
Griffin Richardson 7.2% 7.5% 8.0% 10.4% 8.3% 9.5% 9.9% 9.8% 8.3% 8.6% 7.1% 5.3%
Joey Meagher 15.9% 14.1% 14.0% 11.8% 11.6% 9.7% 8.6% 5.5% 4.4% 2.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Cole Woerner 3.0% 2.6% 3.5% 4.0% 3.1% 4.8% 5.6% 5.9% 8.5% 11.7% 14.8% 32.4%
Humberto Porrata 10.2% 10.2% 10.6% 9.5% 10.2% 9.4% 8.9% 9.6% 7.8% 6.2% 4.9% 2.3%
Stefano Palamara 6.4% 8.7% 6.8% 7.5% 9.4% 8.5% 8.9% 9.2% 9.4% 9.8% 9.1% 6.1%
Aden Anderson 5.5% 6.2% 6.6% 7.5% 7.7% 6.8% 9.0% 8.8% 9.7% 12.2% 10.9% 9.0%
Hilton Kamps 6.0% 4.9% 4.5% 6.3% 6.0% 7.3% 8.8% 9.2% 11.2% 10.0% 13.0% 12.8%
Asher Green 5.8% 7.2% 7.3% 8.8% 9.2% 8.2% 9.8% 9.1% 11.7% 9.2% 7.9% 5.9%
Harrison Bailey 5.9% 5.7% 6.5% 7.5% 7.3% 9.8% 8.6% 9.3% 8.1% 10.1% 11.8% 9.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.