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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.93+2.66vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.21+3.98vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.62+1.48vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.77+3.12vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.19+0.72vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.56+1.22vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.90-0.73vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.59-0.39vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08+0.08vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.41-2.30vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.84-4.56vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.72-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66University of Miami1.9321.3%1st Place
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5.98Salve Regina University1.218.6%1st Place
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4.48Florida State University1.6214.4%1st Place
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7.12North Carolina State University0.774.9%1st Place
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5.72University of South Florida1.199.0%1st Place
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7.22Jacksonville University0.566.5%1st Place
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6.27Eckerd College0.907.6%1st Place
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7.61Christopher Newport University0.595.5%1st Place
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9.08Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.9%1st Place
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7.7Rollins College0.414.9%1st Place
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6.44Princeton University0.847.1%1st Place
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6.71Hampton University0.727.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aidan Dennis | 21.3% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Peter Cronin | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
Joey Meagher | 14.4% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Harrison Bailey | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% |
Humberto Porrata | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
Aden Anderson | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% |
Griffin Richardson | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
Luke Hayes | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.8% |
Cole Woerner | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 33.7% |
Hilton Kamps | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.7% |
Asher Green | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% |
Stefano Palamara | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.