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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+6.48vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.05+5.02vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+5.68vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.10+6.39vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.56+3.60vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+1.08vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.00+0.03vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.67+0.15vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.54-0.25vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut0.51+5.52vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.04+3.08vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.90-4.34vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.93+1.17vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-0.78vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.51-6.23vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University3.26-9.87vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University1.45-4.06vs Predicted
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19Harvard University3.43-13.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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10.39Bowdoin College2.100.0%1st Place
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8.6Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.03Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.15Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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8.75Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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15.52University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
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14.08University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
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7.66Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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14.17McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
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13.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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8.77Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.13Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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12.94Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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5.34Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Christian Houston-Floyd | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Timothy Harding | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 10.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Morrison | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Austin Smyth | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 11.7% | 20.0% | 38.8% |
| Ann Sager | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 19.3% |
| James Moody | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Matt Palardy | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 20.0% | 18.2% |
| George Luber | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 11.2% |
| Scott Booth | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 8.5% |
| Marek Zaleski | 12.3% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.