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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.92+3.11vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.34+3.92vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.33+3.00vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.62+4.42vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.16+1.48vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+3.26vs Predicted
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7Washington College3.65+1.42vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.31+1.43vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California3.16+1.34vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.49-1.12vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii3.36-1.43vs Predicted
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12Brown University4.25-5.71vs Predicted
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13University of Florida3.41-3.62vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.81-6.03vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon2.51-2.71vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University1.27-0.68vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University1.27-1.68vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.49-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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5.92College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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6.0Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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8.42Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Wisconsin3.310.1%1st Place
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10.34University of Southern California3.160.0%1st Place
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8.88University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Hawaii3.360.0%1st Place
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6.29Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
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7.97Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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12.29University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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15.32Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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15.32Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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14.93Northwestern University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Canfield | 20.3% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martin Sterling | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Liberty | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Leif Evensen | 5.1% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| William Brown | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Criezis | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 22.8% | 48.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 22.8% | 48.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wien | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 11.7% | 27.2% | 37.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.