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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.93+2.78vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.62+2.44vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.59+4.82vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.84+2.52vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.77+2.04vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.90+0.29vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.41+0.53vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.72-1.41vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.56-1.73vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.19-4.42vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.21-4.95vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of Miami1.9321.2%1st Place
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4.44Florida State University1.6214.1%1st Place
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7.82Christopher Newport University0.594.2%1st Place
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6.52Princeton University0.847.8%1st Place
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7.04North Carolina State University0.775.8%1st Place
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6.29Eckerd College0.907.5%1st Place
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7.53Rollins College0.415.2%1st Place
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6.59Hampton University0.726.6%1st Place
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7.27Jacksonville University0.565.4%1st Place
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5.58University of South Florida1.1910.7%1st Place
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6.05Salve Regina University1.218.9%1st Place
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9.1Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aidan Dennis | 21.2% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Joey Meagher | 14.1% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
Luke Hayes | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 13.7% |
Asher Green | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.8% |
Harrison Bailey | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.1% |
Griffin Richardson | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
Hilton Kamps | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 11.6% |
Stefano Palamara | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% |
Aden Anderson | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.9% |
Humberto Porrata | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
Peter Cronin | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
Cole Woerner | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.