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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Aidan Dennis 21.2% 16.0% 15.7% 12.8% 10.9% 8.3% 6.5% 3.7% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Joey Meagher 14.1% 16.4% 14.7% 10.8% 11.0% 10.0% 7.5% 5.5% 4.3% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
Luke Hayes 4.2% 4.5% 5.5% 5.9% 6.5% 7.3% 7.1% 8.7% 11.2% 11.3% 14.1% 13.7%
Asher Green 7.8% 8.9% 7.4% 8.5% 7.8% 7.2% 9.8% 9.1% 9.5% 9.2% 9.0% 5.8%
Harrison Bailey 5.8% 5.7% 7.0% 7.6% 8.0% 8.4% 9.4% 9.6% 10.2% 9.7% 10.7% 8.1%
Griffin Richardson 7.5% 8.7% 7.8% 9.8% 9.0% 9.2% 9.6% 9.0% 8.6% 8.6% 7.0% 5.1%
Hilton Kamps 5.2% 4.7% 6.0% 7.1% 6.6% 7.6% 7.4% 9.3% 9.8% 11.4% 13.2% 11.6%
Stefano Palamara 6.6% 8.1% 7.7% 8.2% 8.2% 9.5% 8.7% 9.6% 10.8% 8.9% 7.8% 6.1%
Aden Anderson 5.4% 5.9% 7.1% 6.2% 7.3% 8.1% 8.5% 8.7% 10.1% 10.8% 12.0% 9.9%
Humberto Porrata 10.7% 10.3% 9.3% 10.7% 9.7% 10.3% 9.7% 9.4% 6.3% 6.5% 4.5% 2.6%
Peter Cronin 8.9% 8.4% 8.3% 8.6% 10.5% 9.3% 10.2% 9.9% 8.3% 8.5% 5.7% 3.1%
Cole Woerner 2.5% 2.3% 3.6% 3.9% 4.5% 4.5% 5.8% 7.4% 8.1% 10.2% 14.1% 33.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.