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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.21+4.98vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.19+3.55vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.90+3.35vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.56+3.28vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.77+2.12vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.59+1.76vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.93-3.11vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.72-1.45vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.62-4.59vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.84-3.38vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08-1.98vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.41-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98Salve Regina University1.218.5%1st Place
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5.55University of South Florida1.1910.0%1st Place
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6.35Eckerd College0.907.6%1st Place
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7.28Jacksonville University0.565.1%1st Place
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7.12North Carolina State University0.776.6%1st Place
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7.76Christopher Newport University0.594.6%1st Place
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3.89University of Miami1.9318.8%1st Place
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6.55Hampton University0.728.5%1st Place
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4.41Florida State University1.6216.2%1st Place
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6.62Princeton University0.846.7%1st Place
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9.02Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.8%1st Place
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7.47Rollins College0.414.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Peter Cronin | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
Humberto Porrata | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
Griffin Richardson | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 3.6% |
Aden Anderson | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% |
Harrison Bailey | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% |
Luke Hayes | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 15.0% |
Aidan Dennis | 18.8% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Stefano Palamara | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% |
Joey Meagher | 16.2% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
Asher Green | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
Cole Woerner | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 30.1% |
Hilton Kamps | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.