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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Cronin 8.5% 9.7% 9.2% 9.7% 8.6% 10.2% 9.3% 9.3% 9.2% 7.0% 5.9% 3.5%
Humberto Porrata 10.0% 10.1% 11.5% 9.7% 10.6% 10.8% 8.5% 8.3% 7.2% 6.3% 4.7% 2.4%
Griffin Richardson 7.6% 8.3% 7.7% 9.8% 8.9% 8.2% 9.3% 9.0% 9.4% 9.6% 8.5% 3.6%
Aden Anderson 5.1% 5.7% 6.4% 6.7% 7.8% 8.1% 10.5% 7.6% 9.7% 11.0% 10.8% 10.6%
Harrison Bailey 6.6% 6.2% 6.6% 6.3% 7.8% 6.9% 9.3% 9.4% 10.2% 11.3% 10.7% 8.6%
Luke Hayes 4.6% 5.5% 4.9% 6.4% 6.4% 7.0% 7.0% 9.2% 9.6% 11.7% 12.7% 15.0%
Aidan Dennis 18.8% 16.7% 15.9% 12.8% 11.3% 8.3% 6.2% 4.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Stefano Palamara 8.5% 7.5% 7.0% 7.2% 9.1% 9.8% 8.4% 9.0% 9.7% 8.1% 8.6% 7.0%
Joey Meagher 16.2% 15.5% 13.4% 11.5% 10.4% 8.3% 8.8% 6.3% 5.1% 2.6% 1.3% 0.7%
Asher Green 6.7% 7.0% 7.6% 8.5% 9.0% 9.2% 9.2% 10.2% 8.8% 9.1% 7.6% 7.0%
Cole Woerner 2.8% 2.7% 3.4% 4.4% 3.6% 5.1% 6.5% 6.5% 7.1% 11.5% 16.3% 30.1%
Hilton Kamps 4.7% 5.1% 6.5% 7.1% 6.5% 8.1% 7.0% 10.1% 11.1% 10.5% 12.3% 11.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.