← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.43+4.68vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.00+5.18vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+5.69vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.05+2.70vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont2.99+1.95vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.10+4.46vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.90+0.39vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.93-0.82vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.51-0.15vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University2.54-1.02vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University3.26-4.81vs Predicted
-
12McGill University0.93+2.61vs Predicted
-
13University of Connecticut0.51+2.24vs Predicted
-
14Brown University2.56-5.65vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-1.52vs Predicted
-
16Boston College2.67-7.70vs Predicted
-
17Wesleyan University1.45-4.09vs Predicted
-
19University of New Hampshire1.04-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.68Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
-
7.18Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
-
8.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
-
6.7University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
-
6.95University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
10.46Bowdoin College2.100.0%1st Place
-
7.39Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.18Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
-
8.85Roger Williams University2.510.0%1st Place
-
8.98Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
-
6.19Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
-
14.61McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
-
15.24University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
-
8.35Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
-
13.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
8.3Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
-
12.91Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
-
13.84University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek Zaleski | 11.8% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.2% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christian Houston-Floyd | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| James Moody | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Gabriel Salk | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 11.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Palardy | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 19.3% | 24.4% |
| Austin Smyth | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 36.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| George Luber | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 12.0% |
| Ryan Morrison | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 8.3% |
| Ann Sager | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.