← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.43+4.69vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.00+5.21vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island3.05+4.01vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+4.36vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.56+3.57vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University3.26+0.06vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.99-0.03vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.93-0.84vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.67-0.84vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.90-2.38vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.51-2.01vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.10-1.23vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University2.54-4.42vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire1.04-1.21vs Predicted
-
16Wesleyan University1.45-3.27vs Predicted
-
17University of Connecticut0.51-1.54vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-4.36vs Predicted
-
19McGill University0.93-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.69Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
-
7.21Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
-
7.01University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
-
8.57Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
-
6.06Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
-
6.97University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
7.16Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
-
8.16Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
-
7.62Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
-
8.99Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
-
10.77Bowdoin College2.100.0%1st Place
-
8.58Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
-
13.79University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
-
12.73Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
-
15.46University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
-
13.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
14.23McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek Zaleski | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Timothy Harding | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Salk | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Morrison | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| James Moody | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Christian Houston-Floyd | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Ann Sager | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 15.7% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 8.0% |
| Austin Smyth | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 38.9% |
| George Luber | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 15.4% |
| Matt Palardy | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 20.5% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.