Race 11B

eckerd

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Aden Anderson 5.6% 6.8% 6.6% 6.8% 6.6% 8.4% 8.5% 9.1% 10.2% 11.5% 11.5% 8.6%
Peter Cronin 8.2% 8.9% 8.7% 9.3% 9.4% 9.7% 9.9% 10.2% 9.1% 6.9% 6.0% 3.5%
Aidan Dennis 19.7% 18.2% 14.6% 13.7% 9.8% 7.6% 6.0% 4.4% 3.4% 1.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Humberto Porrata 9.9% 10.4% 9.9% 10.1% 10.1% 10.3% 9.8% 8.9% 8.1% 6.5% 4.1% 1.9%
Luke Hayes 4.9% 5.9% 5.5% 5.9% 7.0% 8.2% 8.0% 7.5% 10.3% 11.2% 12.8% 13.0%
Joey Meagher 15.3% 13.2% 13.7% 11.5% 12.3% 9.8% 7.8% 6.9% 4.3% 2.8% 1.8% 0.7%
Asher Green 7.3% 7.2% 8.6% 8.2% 9.2% 9.4% 8.3% 8.4% 9.2% 9.1% 8.8% 6.2%
Hilton Kamps 5.1% 5.6% 4.8% 7.2% 7.1% 7.4% 7.5% 9.0% 10.1% 11.3% 12.3% 12.4%
Griffin Richardson 8.2% 7.8% 8.9% 8.2% 8.9% 7.7% 10.2% 10.1% 8.6% 9.4% 7.4% 4.5%
Harrison Bailey 6.9% 5.1% 7.2% 7.2% 7.6% 8.0% 9.0% 8.8% 10.4% 9.8% 11.1% 9.2%
Stefano Palamara 7.0% 7.1% 8.0% 8.5% 8.3% 8.9% 9.2% 10.0% 8.5% 9.7% 8.5% 6.3%
Cole Woerner 1.9% 3.8% 3.6% 3.4% 3.7% 4.6% 5.7% 6.8% 7.8% 10.4% 14.8% 33.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.