← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Cronin 8.9% 7.8% 9.2% 9.2% 9.5% 9.6% 10.3% 10.2% 8.7% 8.8% 4.9% 2.9%
Aden Anderson 5.9% 6.3% 7.7% 6.8% 7.4% 7.6% 9.3% 9.8% 9.7% 10.2% 10.3% 8.8%
Joey Meagher 14.6% 15.0% 14.1% 12.3% 11.5% 9.4% 7.5% 5.5% 4.8% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4%
Aidan Dennis 18.9% 18.7% 16.6% 13.2% 9.5% 7.8% 5.9% 4.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Griffin Richardson 7.6% 8.2% 8.5% 8.2% 9.8% 9.6% 8.2% 10.0% 7.9% 8.9% 8.1% 5.0%
Asher Green 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 8.6% 8.3% 10.5% 8.0% 10.1% 9.4% 9.5% 8.2% 7.0%
Stefano Palamara 7.3% 7.0% 6.6% 8.5% 8.2% 7.9% 9.5% 10.1% 9.8% 9.2% 9.1% 6.9%
Humberto Porrata 10.6% 9.6% 11.1% 9.0% 10.2% 10.1% 9.8% 8.6% 6.1% 6.9% 5.1% 3.0%
Hilton Kamps 5.0% 5.6% 5.0% 6.6% 7.5% 7.8% 8.2% 8.4% 10.2% 11.0% 13.6% 11.1%
Harrison Bailey 6.4% 6.6% 6.6% 7.4% 7.0% 7.8% 8.5% 8.5% 10.6% 9.6% 11.9% 9.1%
Luke Hayes 5.3% 4.5% 4.7% 6.1% 7.4% 7.3% 8.7% 7.8% 11.3% 11.4% 12.2% 13.4%
Cole Woerner 2.9% 3.6% 3.2% 3.9% 3.7% 4.7% 6.1% 6.8% 8.5% 10.1% 14.4% 32.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.