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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.43+4.63vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University3.26+4.13vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+4.02vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.67+4.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.33vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut1.93+5.12vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University1.45+5.84vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.00-1.21vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.90-1.84vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.51-0.95vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.08-0.42vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.04+2.46vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.93+1.36vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.10-3.84vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.93-8.86vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-3.27vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.07-7.36vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island2.72-11.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.13Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.06Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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12.84Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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6.79Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.16Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.05Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.58Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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14.46University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
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14.36McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
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10.16Bowdoin College2.100.0%1st Place
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7.14Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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13.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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10.64Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.8University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek Zaleski | 13.0% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Morrison | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.7% |
| Cameron Fraser | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| James Moody | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Scott Booth | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Ann Sager | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 26.3% |
| Matt Palardy | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 28.1% |
| Christian Houston-Floyd | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Gabriel Salk | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| George Luber | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 19.4% |
| Emmett Weeks | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Samuel Cushing | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.