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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.21+5.02vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.56+5.04vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.62+1.45vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.93-0.22vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.90+1.35vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.84+0.70vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.72-0.27vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.19-2.36vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.41-1.49vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University0.77-2.90vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.59-3.33vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Salve Regina University1.218.9%1st Place
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7.04Jacksonville University0.565.9%1st Place
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4.45Florida State University1.6214.6%1st Place
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3.78University of Miami1.9318.9%1st Place
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6.35Eckerd College0.907.6%1st Place
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6.7Princeton University0.846.6%1st Place
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6.73Hampton University0.727.3%1st Place
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5.64University of South Florida1.1910.6%1st Place
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7.51Rollins College0.415.0%1st Place
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7.1North Carolina State University0.776.4%1st Place
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7.67Christopher Newport University0.595.3%1st Place
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9.0Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Peter Cronin | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
Aden Anderson | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% |
Joey Meagher | 14.6% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Aidan Dennis | 18.9% | 18.7% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Griffin Richardson | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
Asher Green | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
Stefano Palamara | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% |
Humberto Porrata | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
Hilton Kamps | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 11.1% |
Harrison Bailey | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.1% |
Luke Hayes | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 13.4% |
Cole Woerner | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.