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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.43+4.54vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.07+8.81vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+5.59vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+3.88vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University3.26+0.88vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.00+0.87vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99-0.15vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.93-0.96vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.67-0.93vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.90-2.52vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.08-0.39vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.51-2.90vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.93-2.14vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University1.45-1.44vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.93-0.47vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.04-1.72vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.10-7.44vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-5.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.81Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.88Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.87Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.85University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.04Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.61Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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9.1Roger Williams University2.510.0%1st Place
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10.86University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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12.56Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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14.53McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
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14.28University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
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10.56Bowdoin College2.100.0%1st Place
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13.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek Zaleski | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Emmett Weeks | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Cushing | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Salk | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Morrison | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| James Moody | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Scott Booth | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 10.7% |
| Matt Palardy | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 29.6% |
| Ann Sager | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 26.1% |
| Christian Houston-Floyd | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| George Luber | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.