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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.10+9.58vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.67+6.35vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.07+7.73vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.43+1.32vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University3.26+0.89vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.08+4.47vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.00-0.17vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.90-0.86vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.70vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.72-1.82vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.93-3.73vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-4.77vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.04+1.02vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University1.45-1.38vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-2.36vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.93-2.42vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut1.93-6.71vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.51-10.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.58Bowdoin College2.100.0%1st Place
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8.35Boston College2.670.0%1st Place
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10.73Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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5.32Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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5.89Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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10.47Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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6.83Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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8.18University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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7.27Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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14.02University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
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12.62Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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13.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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14.58McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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8.57Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Houston-Floyd | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Ryan Morrison | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Emmett Weeks | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Marek Zaleski | 13.8% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 11.7% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| James Moody | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Cushing | 7.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Gabriel Salk | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Ann Sager | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 23.8% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 11.1% |
| George Luber | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 18.7% |
| Matt Palardy | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 29.8% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 4.7% |
| Scott Booth | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.