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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Griffin Richardson 8.6% 9.0% 9.8% 9.2% 9.0% 9.5% 8.1% 8.3% 8.3% 7.2% 5.8% 4.8% 2.4%
Humberto Porrata 11.6% 10.7% 11.2% 9.8% 9.5% 10.4% 8.0% 8.1% 6.3% 5.0% 5.0% 3.2% 1.1%
Magnus Weissenberger 7.1% 6.7% 6.6% 6.8% 7.6% 7.9% 7.9% 8.3% 8.2% 9.0% 11.1% 8.4% 4.5%
Luke Hayes 5.1% 6.2% 6.9% 6.9% 6.5% 7.0% 7.8% 9.7% 8.6% 9.6% 10.1% 9.1% 6.6%
Stefano Palamara 6.7% 9.1% 7.4% 8.8% 8.5% 8.1% 10.0% 8.2% 8.8% 8.1% 7.5% 5.5% 3.1%
Asher Green 6.8% 8.8% 8.5% 8.2% 9.3% 9.6% 8.3% 8.3% 8.0% 8.9% 6.9% 5.8% 2.7%
Aden Anderson 7.0% 6.8% 6.6% 6.6% 7.3% 7.9% 8.1% 9.3% 9.2% 9.3% 8.4% 9.3% 4.2%
Hilton Kamps 6.7% 6.0% 7.3% 6.3% 6.8% 6.1% 8.0% 9.1% 10.2% 9.2% 9.8% 8.5% 6.1%
Harrison Bailey 7.3% 6.8% 7.3% 8.2% 7.6% 7.3% 7.4% 8.7% 8.3% 9.8% 8.4% 8.3% 4.5%
Cole Woerner 3.5% 3.0% 3.5% 3.3% 5.3% 4.9% 6.5% 5.9% 7.3% 8.2% 11.2% 18.1% 19.2%
Sydney VanMeerhaeghe 1.6% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.9% 2.6% 3.1% 4.0% 5.2% 7.0% 8.9% 15.2% 43.5%
Joey Meagher 18.8% 14.6% 14.1% 13.4% 10.1% 8.5% 6.8% 4.9% 4.2% 2.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Peter Cronin 9.2% 10.6% 8.8% 10.5% 9.6% 10.3% 9.9% 7.2% 7.3% 6.2% 5.3% 3.1% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.