Race 1A

saisa-north-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gregory Walters 23.4% 22.8% 17.5% 15.1% 11.3% 5.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Roberto Martelli 12.2% 12.1% 13.7% 14.8% 15.3% 15.3% 10.2% 4.8% 1.4% 0.2%
Sara Boyd 2.6% 3.2% 4.5% 5.5% 7.0% 10.6% 17.1% 20.8% 19.1% 9.6%
James Thurlow 27.2% 23.2% 18.2% 14.8% 10.1% 3.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Nilah Miller 15.0% 16.0% 16.3% 16.9% 14.7% 12.2% 5.0% 2.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Nicholas DeConto 3.0% 3.4% 5.3% 4.0% 6.9% 10.2% 16.4% 21.9% 19.1% 9.9%
Jack Dalton 7.8% 8.4% 10.1% 11.8% 14.3% 16.1% 14.8% 11.1% 4.2% 1.4%
Blake Daniel 6.6% 8.6% 11.2% 12.9% 13.6% 16.4% 16.0% 9.7% 4.2% 0.9%
Katie Kellam 0.8% 1.3% 1.5% 1.9% 3.1% 4.9% 6.8% 13.0% 23.2% 43.5%
Nevin Williams 1.3% 1.1% 1.8% 2.3% 3.5% 5.0% 8.6% 14.4% 27.5% 34.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.