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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.00+6.09vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.43+3.50vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.93+4.33vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+3.88vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.08+5.36vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+2.44vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.07+3.57vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University3.26-2.11vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.90-1.78vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99-2.85vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+2.69vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.93-0.59vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.51-4.35vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.67-6.11vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.10-4.62vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.04-1.73vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.93-2.39vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University1.45-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.5Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.33Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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10.36Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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10.57Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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5.89Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.22Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.15University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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13.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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8.65Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.89Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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10.38Bowdoin College2.100.0%1st Place
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14.27University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
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14.61McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
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12.69Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Salk | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Emmett Weeks | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 11.2% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 18.7% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
| Scott Booth | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Morrison | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Christian Houston-Floyd | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Ann Sager | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 23.9% |
| Matt Palardy | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 18.1% | 30.1% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.