Race 2A

saisa-north-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
James Thurlow 26.8% 26.0% 18.1% 12.6% 8.1% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Sara Boyd 2.5% 2.7% 4.4% 4.7% 8.6% 10.4% 15.2% 23.2% 18.6% 9.8%
Roberto Martelli 11.0% 13.0% 14.9% 15.6% 14.8% 14.1% 9.9% 4.7% 1.6% 0.3%
Gregory Walters 23.6% 21.5% 18.7% 16.2% 10.1% 6.0% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Nilah Miller 16.1% 15.2% 17.0% 16.8% 14.3% 11.2% 6.0% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Jack Dalton 7.3% 8.2% 9.8% 10.8% 14.4% 17.0% 16.2% 9.9% 5.2% 1.2%
Nicholas DeConto 3.1% 3.0% 4.2% 6.2% 7.4% 10.8% 16.0% 19.9% 18.8% 10.7%
Katie Kellam 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 2.2% 3.5% 4.3% 7.6% 12.2% 24.7% 41.6%
Nevin Williams 1.0% 1.2% 1.8% 2.5% 3.4% 5.1% 8.1% 14.9% 26.1% 35.9%
Blake Daniel 7.6% 7.9% 9.6% 12.4% 15.4% 16.1% 15.4% 10.8% 4.3% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.